Short-Term Forecasting of Wind Power Workshop

Workshop Video Day 1

Program of the first day (time in brackets are the times in the video):
09:00 Arrival and registration
09:30 (1:24) Introduction
Workshop goals
(15:32) Introductions
10:00 (37:45) Where are we with very short-term forecasting?

• David Schlipf, Uni Stuttgart: Introduction to Task 32; Presentation of State of the art lidar applications
• (52:40) Gregor Giebel, DTU: Introduction to Task 36; Presentation of state of the art forecasting techniques and overview of different forecasting horizons. What are the gaps that need to be filled in the short/very-short term region?
  11:00 Break
  11:15 (1:39:00) What is the target forecasting time and parameter?
  Plenum discussion and viewpoints from different stakeholders; definition of short-term forecasting horizon, on which factors does it depend?
  12:00 Experiences with very short-term forecasting Part 1 SCADA Data
  Presentation of different stakeholders
• (2:27:40) Ciaran Gilbert, Uni Strathclyde, Pierre Pinson, Jakob Messner, DTU Elektro: Very high resolution forecasts using a nested LES system
• (2:54:45) Christopher Bay, NREL: Wind direction consensus and forecasting for improved wind farm operation
  12:30 Lunch
  13:15 Experiences with very short-term forecasting Part 1 SCADA Data
  Presentation of different stakeholders:
• (3:59:07) Harley Mackenzie, HARD Software Australia: Short term forecasting of wind power plant generation for system stability and provision of ancillary services
• (4:39:20) Bahri Uzunoglu, Uppsala University: Maximum likelihood ensemble filter SCADA data assimilation for wind farms for very short-term forecasting
  14:15 Experiences with very short-term forecasting Part 2 Lidar & Radar
• (5:00:35) Anamaria Sirghie, Jesper Thiesen and Mikkel Hansen, ConWX: Lidar based short term forecast for offshore wind
• (5:15:45) John Zack, AWS Truepower: Intra-hour wind ramp forecasting in Hawaii using scanning lidar
  15:00 Break
  15:30 Experiences with very short-term forecasting Part 2 Lidar & Radar
• (6:28:20) Corinna Mohrlen, WEPROG, Can Lidars replace met masts in real-time system operation: results from a study for the Irish TSOs
• (6:54:08) Laura Valldecabres, Uni Oldenburg: Very short-term probabilistic forecast of offshore wind power using dual-Doppler radar
• (7:13:20) Elliot Simon, DTU Wind Energy: A machine learning approach for intra-hour wind speed forecasting using scanning lidar inflow measurements
• (7:42:20) Alexandre Costa, Gabriel Dantas and Valentin Perruci, UFPE Brazil: An operational forecasting tool using different approaches – results from the HPC4E EU project and the EOLIPREV Brazilian project
  17:30 (8:09:45) Conclusions of the day
  17:35 End of Day 1

Workshop Video Day 2

Program for day 2 (times in the stream are in brackets):
09:00 (00:45) Welcome and recap of Day 1
09:15 Looking over the horizon: Experiences with remote sensing devices

• (04:35)Thomas Schmidt, DLR, Short term solar forecasting from sky imaging, up to 30 min
• (36:56) Ines Würth, Uni Stuttgart, How far can we see? Analysis of the measurement range of long-range lidar data for short-term forecasting
  10:00 World Cafe: What are the barriers and what are possible solutions
  Splitting into different working groups decided during the plenum discussion, e.g.
• SCADA data
• Lidar
• Radar
  Discussions taking into account different forecasting horizons
  10:30 Break
  10:45 (1:05:10) World Cafe: What are the barriers and what are possible solutions
  11:15 (2:34:02) Presentation of the results from each group and discussion
  12:00 (2:57:40) Summary of the workshop and formulation of next steps
  12:30 End of workshop