Wind Forecasting Workshop 2022: State of Art and Research Gaps
Workshop Video
Jumpmarks to the individual talks:
0:00:00. Session host: Gregor Giebel, DTU
Welcome and Keynotes: The power system of Ireland is standing as a prime example of the challenges encountered in the energy transition: high shares of renewables, low transmission capacities elsewhere, and growing demand for transport and heat to come from electricity.
0:00:15 Gregor Giebel, Operating Agent, DTU: Introduction to IEA Wind Task 51 “Forecasting for the Weather Driven Energy System”
0:16:25 Keynote by Conor Kavanagh, Eirgrid on Challenges with running the Irish system securely
1:02:01 Keynote by Eamonn Lannoye, EPRI: Integrating forecasting into power system operations and planning – current gaps and research needs
1:31:50 Session host: Jethro Browell, WP lead, University of Glasgow
Keynote from Traders: Physical availability of renewable power is one thing, but in the current setup, the power is traded on the markets. How this is done in the view of changing demands, optimisation across different time scales, the use of storage, and the inability to see all data is the topic of this session.
1:31:50 Edward McGarrigle, Galánta Energy: On Forecasting for Trading
1:56:50 Malte Rieck, Vattenfall: How are wind forecasts used operationally? A tour of marketing wind energy
2:25:31 Kathryn Fowler, Centrica Energy Trading: Changing forecast requirements in a trading environment
2:55:11 Session host: John Zack, UL Renewables
Weather forecasting for renewable power: For timescales from intraday to seasonal, weather prediction plays a major role for the forecast accuracy and reliability. This session will go into the details of new products and new developments in weather forecasting for renewables.
2:55:11 Irene Schicker, ZAMG: Subseasonal Forecasting
3:25:12 Frédéric Vitart, ECMWF: Season to Season (S2S) forecasts and their relevance for energy
3:51:58 Remco Verzijlbergh, Whiffle: Very high-resolution forecasting using LES on GPUs
4:24:54 Session host: Corinna Möhrlen, WP lead, WEPROG
Extreme event definition and forecasting: Not only the weather will get more extreme in future climate scenarios, the impacts on the power system also will get more extreme. But what is an extreme event for the power and energy system: extreme weather, or can “boring” weather with low wind and sun constitute problems too? The session started with a short introduction, followed by an Open Space discussion (cut out from this stream) and a presentation of the results in plenum.
Slides for the Workshop
Forecasting for the Weather-Driven Energy System
Gregor Giebel, Head of Section for Renewable Plants in Energy Systems at DTU Wind & Energy Systems, Risø
Eirgrid on Challenges with running the Irish system securely
Conor Kavanagh
Integrating forecasting into power system operations and planning – current gaps and research needs
Eamonn Lannoye, EPRI Europe
On Forecasting for Trading
Edward McGarrigle, Galánta Energy
How are wind forecasts used operationally? A tour of marketing wind energy
Malte Rieck, Vattenfall
Changing forecast requirements in a trading environment
Kathryn Fowler, Centrica Energy Trading
The WFIP projects 1-3 and Forecasting for Airborne systems
Caroline Draxl, Senior Scientist, National Wind Technology Center, National Renewable Energy Laboratory – NREL, USA
Season to Season (S2S) forecasts and their relevance for energy
Frédéric Vitart, ECMWF
Very high resolution forecasting using LES on GPUs
Remco Verzijlbergh, Director of Operations at Whiffle & Associate Professor at TU Delft
AI and cloud computing developments towards integrating renewables
Brad Eck, Researcher at IBM
Prediction markets as forecasting and hedging instruments within the renewable electricity sector
Paul Cuffe, Assistant Professor, School of Electrical & Electronic Engineering, University College Dublin
Extreme Events
David Lenaghan, Innovation Lead at National Grid
How do the applications influence the forecasting tech evolution?
George Kariniotakis, Professor, Head of Renewable Energies & SmartGrids Group (ERSEI), Centre PERSEE at MINES ParisTech – ARMINES
People just want numbers – How to fairly compare and interpret forecasts with a benchmarking framework for performance evaluation
Juan Sopena, Project Engineer at Solute | PhD in Wind power forecasting (Trinity College Dublin) | Data Science & AI | Renewable Energy
Introduction to the probabilistic gaming concept, the games purpose and setup to demonstrate a real-time environment and how to integrate probabilistic forecasts into decision making processes
Corinna Möhrlen, WEPROG
